Understanding Bitcoin as a financial asset, a new technology, a means of transparency — and the network that made digital scarcity possible for the first time. The place to begin if you are beginning.
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Bitcoin fell 7.3% in October to $77,424 while leverage rebuilt into the decline. The house view is unchanged, and October's evidence moved toward it without settling either case.
New York was the widest-ranging session on every weekday and Saturday the quietest day. Sunday night was the one weekend exception. A description of size over 12 months, not of direction.
A trader's observation about the 200-day average was tested against the record. It was not disproved. It was shown to be unmeasurable as stated, and it is withdrawn on that basis.
Five scheduled US events tested against how often Bitcoin made large price moves. One held up on both periods: the hours after a US inflation release. The jobs report came close and still failed the bar set in advance.
Get your finances wrong and something tells you. Bitcoin withholds both halves: a mistake here cannot be undone, and nothing announces that it has been made.
Large Bitcoin price swings were measurably more frequent around US inflation releases, after sharp rises in expected volatility and after fast build-ups of leveraged bets. Nothing tested predicted which way the price would move.
The FCA settled its High Court case against the HTX exchange and says HTX is no longer active in the UK. HMRC withdrew a start date for platform reporting. What changed in UK Bitcoin regulation this month.
Bitcoin can be held in a trust, and the investment duties apply to it. The Trustee Act 2000 leaves open whether a trustee who holds the only key has been appointed a custodian.
After the roughly $6.3bn theft from Binance's hot wallets on 29 October, we assessed seven guard rails for British crypto holders. The UK regime due from 25 October 2027 does far more against a firm failing than against theft itself.
Roughly $6.36 billion left Binance's wallets on 29 October. Nobody appears to have stolen a key — and that distinction is the whole lesson for anyone using a custodian.
A figure can be arithmetically correct and still tell you nothing. The test we run before we publish one, and what it costs us.
Multi-signature spreads control of bitcoin across several keys. It changes where the risk sits, adds a record to keep, and does not settle ownership.
From October 2027 firms safeguarding qualifying cryptoassets need FCA authorisation. FSCS cover is not planned, and genuine self-custody is outside the rules.
A lasting power of attorney can give an attorney authority over a holder's bitcoin. It does not give them a way in. Authority, access and recovery are three problems.
The FCA opened its crypto authorisation gateway and finalised its perimeter guidance. What changed in UK Bitcoin regulation this month, and what it means if you hold Bitcoin.
Banks say blocking crypto payments protects customers from fraud. The scam-refund rules they cite do not cover payments to an account you control. Is blanket blocking proportionate?
Bitcoin closed the third quarter 43% higher. Both cases are carried, the weighting between them is published, and so are the observations that move it.
Whether the two markets disagree tells you almost nothing about which way price goes next; what little it tells you, spot was already saying on its own.
How a flag is generated, what a review consists of, why nobody will tell you what triggered it, and how to structure holdings so one flag can't reach everything.
An exchange reads the history of the coins you deposit, not just the balance. What screening does, why it is widening, and where it leaves the holder.
Inheritance law settles who owns Bitcoin. It does not make it reachable. What to establish, how to raise it, and the three conditions that close the gap.
A special outlook on Bitcoin's best week in a year: the rally from the 17 August low was financed by shorts covering and spot buying, not new leveraged money.
Bitcoin closed July up 7.3% without threatening the June low. Why that defers the expected mid-$50,000s low rather than cancelling it.
A trader's instinct — weak rallies don't last — frozen into a testable rule over 3.6 years of Bitcoin data. A provisional 78–82%, and where the rule dies.
Bitcoin below the daily EMA cluster, Alpha Flux weekly on SHORT_BIAS, and every wave scenario pointing toward the mid-$50,000 region.
Does the cost of mining Bitcoin predict its price? Post-halving mining economics, global hashrate and energy prices, on 2025 and 2026 data.
Understanding Bitcoin as a financial asset, a new technology, a means of transparency — and the network that made digital scarcity possible for the first time.
From the cryptographic foundations of a trustless ledger to why Bitcoin's scarcity and security model set it apart.
Amid weakening sentiment and ETF outflows: market-cycle positioning, institutional adoption, liquidity, and the signals that decide which way next.
CIPNFT: a framework for converting intellectual property — research, datasets, discoveries — into encrypted digital assets on a blockchain.
An open-source, experimental Layer-1 blockchain combining Ethereum-style smart contracts with bioinformatics-focused data storage and computation.
Bitcoin's market structure continues to evolve as institutional adoption, ETF inflows and broader macroeconomic forces reshape the investment landscape. This report examines the key drivers influencing Bitcoin's medium-term outlook and explores why understanding market cycles, investor psychology and long-term adoption trends remains more important than short-term price predictions.